KC Royals vs BAL Orioles

Kansas City, despite trailing Baltimore by five games, had a superior expected win-loss record. The Orioles have faltered, with no winning streaks over three games since late June and a 34-38 record since July 8. Baltimore is 3-5 in Burnes’ last eight starts. Kansas City’s bullpen, ranked 11th in WAR, outshines Baltimore’s, which is 27th in ERA.