Korona Kielce x Widzew Lodz

11.04.2025 - 18:30
Draw
3.32 (11.04.2025 - 2:24)
FairPari
10/10
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Up to 430€ welcome package
2-1
Lost, profit -10.00

My betting strategy for this particular wager involved leveraging the league's average performance level as a pivotal factor. This approach delved into analyzing goals scored and conceded both on home turf and away, thereby determining value within my mathematical model. Employing the Poisson distribution enabled me to project expected goals, subsequently defining each team's probabilities. 

Tips Avg stake Stake Avg odds Yield Profit
Total 1089 9.99 10874 2.87 4.9% 535.41
This month 186 9.96 1852 2.88 6.2% 114.74
Football (535.41), Europe (152.62), Poland (18.1)
Ekstraklasa 4 10 40 3.35 65% 26

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