Newcastle Falcons vs Sydney Comets

The Newcastle Falcons and Sydney Comets are likely to deliver a high-scoring first quarter, making the over 40.5 a solid choice. Both teams play at a fast pace, with the Falcons averaging around 45 points in opening quarters at home this season. The Comets, meanwhile, have struggled defensively early in games, giving up close to 44 points in first quarters on the road.  

Key factors supporting the over include their up-tempo play, as both rank near the top of the league in possessions per game. They also take a high volume of three-pointers early, combining for over 20 attempts per first quarter, which helps push scoring. Recent matchups between these teams have frequently gone over this mark, with six of their last eight meetings surpassing 40 first-quarter points.  

With explosive guards on both sides—Mitchell for the Falcons and Harris for the Comets—the early offense should flow easily. Expect a fast start with a first-quarter total in the 44-48 range. The over 40.5 looks promising given the pace, shooting, and recent trends.