Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
ATP Australian Open, Quarterfinals
By the names of the opponents, this should be the best match of the tournament so far. My first thought about this match was Over games. And I still think that's a winning bet. But I feel maybe 38.5 to 39.5 is a little bit too high. Last season in similar situation Djokovic lost on Australian Open from Sinner in four sets but the totals remained under due to 6:1 and 6:2 score in first two sets. Djokovic is still top player even at this veteran age but these other current top guys who are way younger like Alcaraz, Zverev and Sinner probably are too much for him. The Serb should put Alcaraz on test but in my opinion will lose at the end, probably in 4 sets. That being said, at the end I have opted for alternative solution, Alcaraz to win and match to go Over 33.5 games. This is alternative line and with weaker odds (2.10) but if you choose Alcaraz and regular line 39.5, you will have odds around 2.80.
Of course I feel more comfortable with 33.5 since in theory we might cash this bet even with 3-0 Alcaraz victory. Say 6:7/5:7/3:6.
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