Qarabag - Sumqayit

     Qarabag has tough competition for the title this season in Azerbaijan, something that they are not really quite used to, as they are usually clear league leaders already by this stage of the season. They are also not as strong as in previous years in European competitions either, although they were one step away from the Champions League group stage. Their last two home games have been a 3-0 win with Shamakhi and a 4-0 win against Zira. They have defeated Sumqayit once with 5-0 and a second time with 2-0 here at home last season, and I back the -3 AH on them here.