Estrela - Rio Ave
The guests had the lead last round 2-0 at home with strong Guimaraes, but started defending hard and till the end only managed a 2-2 draw as they are not that strong when it comes to defending and do concede even while defending in numbers home or away from home. Estrela scored 2+ goals in their last 5 home games in a row right now, usually they also concede and Rio Ave is in decent scoring form at this stage, while last season this fixture ended up in a 2-2 draw as I back over 2.5 goals here.
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